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俄罗斯经济陷入困境问题出在哪儿?

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年09月24日 03:42:09
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(第)(三)(,在)(乌)(克)(兰)(问)(题)(上)(,普)(京)(拿)(回)(了)(曾)(经)(属)(于)(俄)(罗)(斯)(的)(克)(里)(米)(亚)(,并)(且)(仍)(然)(保)(住)(了)(东)(乌)(克)(兰)(这)(个)(对)(俄)(罗)(斯)(来)(说)(非)(常)(重)(要)(的)(缓)(冲)(地)(带)(。在)(俄)(罗)(斯)(人)(看)(来)(,乌)(克)(兰)(是)(俄)(罗)(斯)(民)(族)(的)(发)(源)(地)(,普)(京)(的)(做)(法)(完)(全)(符)(合)(俄)(罗)(斯)(人)(的)(民)(意)(。
第)(四)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(在)(上)(世)(纪)(90年)(代)(吃)(了)(西)(方)(的)(亏)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(人)(对)(西)(方)(社)(会)(普)(遍)(存)(在)(不)(信)(任)(感)(。所)(以)(,西)(方)(越)(抹)(黑)(普)(京)(,结)(果)(俄)(罗)(斯)(人)(越)(支)(持)(普)(京)(。也)(正)(是)(基)(于)(这)(种)(情)(绪)(,西)(方)(支)(持)(的)(俄)(罗)(斯)(反)(对)(派)(力)(量)(在)(俄)(罗)(斯)(一)(直)(难)(以)(获)(得)(很)(高)(的)(支)(持)(率)(,无)(法)(真)(正)(撼)(动)(普)(京)(的)(统)(制)(地)(位)(。
虽)(然)(俄)(罗)(斯)(人)(把)(普)(京)(看)(作)(是)(自)(己)(信)(得)(过)(的)(领)(导)(人)(,但)(也)(驾)(不)(住)(长)(期)(经)(济)(衰)(退)(和)(卢)(布)(狂)(贬)(的)(巨)(痛)(,所)(以)(俄)(罗)(斯)(经)(济)(后)(续)(能)(否)(强)(劲)(复)(苏)(,将)(直)(接)(决)(定)(普)(京)(的)(未)(来)(。世)(界)(银)(行)(预)(测)(今)(年)(俄)(罗)(斯)(经)(济)(增)(速)(仅)(有)(1.5%。似)(乎)(俄)(罗)(斯)(短)(期)(内)(难)(逃)(经)(济)(低)(增)(长)(的)(宿)(命)(。那)(么)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(经)(济)(为)(何)(会)(呈)(现)(长)(期)(低)(迷)(的)(状)(态)(呢)(?
首)(先)(,受)(到)(西)(方)(国)(家)(的)(长)(期)(经)(济)(制)(裁)(,是)(俄)(罗)(斯)(难)(以)(抹)(去)(的)(伤)(痛)(。在)(克)(里)(米)(亚)(是)(否)(独)(立)(的)(问)(题)(上)(,自)(认)(为)(有)(理)(的)(俄)(罗)(斯)(便)(仿)(照)(西)(方)(惯)(用)(的)(手)(法)(实)(现)(了)(与)(克)(里)(米)(亚)(半)(岛)(的)(统)(一)(:全)(民)(公)(投)(再)(加)(危)(机)(前)(合)(法)(产)(生)(的)(议)(会)(批)(准)(。
应)(该)(说)(,从)(程)(序)(的)(角)(度)(看)(,非)(常)(完)(美)(,甚)(至)(比)(西)(方)(做)(的)(都)(漂)(亮)(。然)(而)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(不)(明)(白)(的)(是)(,西)(方)(国)(家)(怎)(么)(能)(容)(忍)(一)(个)(亲)(俄)(的)(民)(选)(政)(府)(的)(产)(生)(呢)(?于)(是)(各)(种)(经)(济)(制)(裁)(铺)(天)(盖)(地)(而)(来)(。显)(然)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(还)(是)(有)(些)(天)(真)(了)(。
俄)(罗)(斯)(之)(所)(以)(敢)(统)(一)(克)(里)(米)(亚)(和)(支)(持)(乌)(克)(兰)(东)(部)(亲)(俄)(势)(力)(与)(西)(方)(对)(抗)(,就)(自)(认)(可)(以)(顶)(得)(住)(西)(方)(的)(压)(力)(。结)(果)(却)(是)(一)(场)(博)(弈)(下)(来)(,大)(量)(资)(金)(流)(失)(,卢)(布)(狂)(跌)(,部)(分)(商)(品)(、服)(务)(物)(价)(飞)(涨)(。
正)(如)(法)(国)(媒)(体)(在)(俄)(罗)(斯)(与)(西)(方)(对)(弈)(之)(后)(的)(评)(论)(称)(:俄)(罗)(斯)(正)(面)(临)(1998年)(国)(家)(破)(产)(的)(严)(峻)(时)(刻)(。之)(后)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(经)(济)(虽)(然)(挺)(过)(了)(这)(场)(危)(机)(,但)(美)(国)(不)(断)(加)(码)(的)(经)(济)(制)(裁)(措)(施)(,也)(让)(俄)(罗)(斯)(经)(济)(难)(以)(看)(到)(真)(正)(复)(苏)(的)(希)(望)(。
再)(者)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(的)(经)(济)(过)(于)(单)(一)(结)(构)(,导)(致)(西)(方)(国)(家)(对)(其)(经)(济)(制)(裁)(更)(加)(困)(苦)(。这)(个)(国)(家)(除)(了)(石)(油)(和)(军)(火)(,几)(乎)(什)(么)(都)(不)(能)(生)(产)(,其)(他)(产)(品)(就)(只)(能)(依)(靠)(进)(口)(。而)(当)(卢)(布)(出)(现)(狂)(贬)(之)(时)(,物)(价)(开)(始)(了)(飞)(涨)(,这)(让)(收)(入)(本)(身)(就)(不)(高)(的)(俄)(罗)(斯)(民)(众)(叫)(苦)(不)(迭)(。正)(如)(外)(媒)(的)(一)(个)(评)(论)(指)(出)(,俄)(国)(经)(济)(完)(全)(依)(赖)(地)(下)(的)(资)(源)(而)(不)(是)(大)(脑)(。
当)(然)(,普)(京)(自)(上)(台)(后)(,也)(曾)(高)(度)(重)(视)(经)(济)(结)(构)(转)(型)(,但)(最)(终)(仍)(然)(没)(有)(丝)(毫)(进)(展)(。所)(以)(,不)(管)(超)(低)(油)(价)(是)(否)(是)(西)(方)(国)(家)(的)(阴)(谋)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(内)(部)(经)(济)(结)(构)(的)(过)(于)(单)(一)(才)(是)(危)(机)(的)(真)(正)(根)(源)(。
事)(实)(上)(,经)(济)(处)(于)(衰)(退)(之)(中)(的)(俄)(罗)(斯)(,除)(了)(欧)(洲)(需)(要)(它)(供)(应)(清)(洁)(而)(又)(廉)(价)(的)(能)(源)(,基)(本)(上)(再)(无)(多)(大)(影)(响)(力)(。没)(有)(人)(需)(要)(俄)(罗)(斯)(,当)(年)(那)(些)(俄)(罗)(斯)(铁)(杆)(盟)(友)(自)(然)(也)(大)(难)(临)(头)(各)(自)(飞)(。而)(普)(京)(似)(乎)(只)(能)(在)(军)(事)(和)(政)(治)(上)(有)(所)(建)(树)(,在)(经)(济)(结)(构)(改)(革)(方)(面)(,未)(能)(组)(织)(起)(有)(效)(的)(应)(对)(措)(施)(,目)(前)(只)(能)(期)(盼)(国)(际)(油)(价)(长)(期)(上)(涨)(。
最)(后)(,人)(口)(数)(量)(下)(滑)(严)(重)(,拖)(了)(经)(济)(增)(长)(的)(后)(腿)(。苏)(联)(解)(体)(后)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(人)(民)(生)(活)(水)(平)(下)(降)(,到)(1999年)(俄)(罗)(斯)(人)(口)(出)(生)(率)(降)(至)(历)(史)(最)(低)(。而)(随)(着)(那)(时)(候)(出)(生)(的)(人)(口)(达)(到)(毕)(业)(离)(校)(的)(年)(龄)(,人)(们)(现)(在)(感)(受)(到)(了)(低)(出)(生)(率)(造)(成)(的)(影)(响)(。
由)(于)(出)(生)(率)(低)(,进)(入)(俄)(罗)(斯)(劳)(动)(力)(市)(场)(的)(年)(轻)(人)(数)(量)(不)(足)(,这)(将)(使)(未)(来)(5至)(6年)(俄)(罗)(斯)(经)(济)(增)(长)(减)(少)(几)(个)(百)(分)(点)(。据)(俄)(罗)(斯)(官)(方)(预)(测)(显)(示)(,劳)(动)(人)(口)(的)(缺)(乏)(要)(到)(2022年)(前)(后)(才)(会)(有)(所)(好)(转)(。
面)(对)(西)(方)(经)(济)(制)(裁)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(也)(同)(样)(针)(峰)(相)(对)(。尽)(管)(普)(京)(表)(现)(强)(势)(,但)(俄)(经)(济)(增)(长)(前)(景)(仍)(显)(脆)(弱)(。美)(国)(、欧)(盟)(对)(俄)(的)(经)(济)(制)(裁)(短)(期)(内)(难)(以)(取)(消)(,俄)(企)(业)(在)(国)(际)(市)(场)(融)(资)(仍)(面)(临)(障)(碍)(。俄)(对)(“石)(油)(美)(元)(”的)(依)(赖)(难)(以)(改)(变)(,结)(构)(性)(经)(济)(顽)(疾)(短)(期)(无)(法)(改)(善)(。预)(计)(在)(今)(后)(一)(段)(时)(期)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(经)(济)(增)(长)(难)(有)(恢)(复)(迹)(象)(。返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(
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